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Speculative decoding that changes no output

A speculative path was admitted by confidence, verified against the ordinary path and rejected whenever it could not preserve the exact result.

Speculative decoding is useful only if it accelerates work without quietly changing what the model produces. The experiments therefore treated exact agreement as a gate, not as a hopeful side effect.

Method

  • Attribute misses and replay work before changing policy.
  • Label proposed continuations across controlled workloads.
  • Admit speculation only when confidence clears the frozen rule.
  • Compare accepted output with the ordinary decoding path token by token.

Findings

Confidence separated some useful proposals from obvious waste, but acceptance alone did not remove the cost of verification. Profiling showed that the accepted path still contained work worth optimising.

Decision

The findings come from the controlled workloads used in the study. They do not establish that the same admission rule transfers unchanged to every model or task.


Cite this page: Dingal AI Research. “Speculative decoding that changes no output”. 25 July 2026.

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